In the coming months, Russia may undertake a deliberate action, possibly resulting in loss of life, targeting a NATO nation within Eastern Europe to shift attention from the start of a new military operation in Ukraine. This assessment was shared in an interview with Ukrinform by Jarosław Kraszewski, a retired polish general and now the head of RBL Defence Polska, a private defense company, as reported by Telegrafi. The retired general estimates the likelihood of such an event occurring within the near future to be around 75 to 80 percent.
He suggested potential locations could include the intersection of Poland, Lithuania, and Belarus, or areas within the Baltic Sea. Kraszewski explained that the intended purpose of this provocation would be to redirect Western attention away from a significant new Russian offensive currently underway in Ukraine. He clarified, “it is a provocation that will involve forces.” The polish general’s analysis highlights a strategic maneuver potentially employed by russia.
Topics: #polish #general #russia
